Research ENABLE Stream Research Brief
ENABLE Stream · Journal Article · 2024

Canada's Tax Credit Gap: Who Really Benefits?

Gillian Petit, Lindsay M. Tedds and Selvia Arshad ↗
Canadian Tax Journal · Vol. 72, No. 4 · 2024 · doi:10.32721/ctj.2024.72.4.pf.petit
ENABLE Tax Expenditure Basic Personal Amount Distributional Analysis Gender Equity SPSD/M
Low Mid High 90%
Summary
Canada's Basic Personal Amount (BPA), Spousal Credit (SC), and Eligible Dependant Credit (EDC) are framed as universal support for the cost of living. This paper exposes a structural distributional failure: 90% of BPA value flows to the top 77% of taxfilers, $10.7 billion goes unused by the lowest earners because the credit is non-refundable, and men capture 65% of all Spousal Credit expenditure. Using Statistics Canada's SPSD/M, the analysis reveals that those most in need — disproportionately women and people in Market Basket Measure poverty — receive the least. The paper charts a path to reform, including refundability and targeted reallocation of the $60+ billion annual expenditure.
01

The Basic Personal Amount Distribution Divide

90%
of BPA benefits flow to middle and high-income earners — the top 77% of taxfilers
$10.7B
in credits goes unused by lowest-income Canadians — non-refundability locks them out
38%
of taxfilers who derive zero benefit from the BPA live in MBM poverty
59%
of those who receive no BPA benefit at all are women
Group % of Taxfilers Avg. Total Income Expenditure Share % Women % in MBM Poverty
No Benefit (zero tax liability) 7.2% $5,597 0% 59% 38%
Taxes Reduced to Zero 15.8% $12,198 10% ($6.1B) 58% 23%
Full Utilization (taxes remain owing) 77% $77,692 90% ($56.5B) 48% 3%
The equity tension: The BPA is progressive in relative terms — it represents a higher share of income for low earners. But in absolute terms, the vast majority of a $62.7 billion expenditure flows to those who need it least. Those with zero taxable income — the most economically vulnerable — receive $0. This is not a marginal design flaw; it is the structural logic of non-refundability.
02

The Spousal Credit: A Gender Imbalance

Who Benefits
Men capture the Spousal Credit
Men receive 65% of all operational Spousal Credit value — they are more likely to be eligible (as higher earners in a household) and more likely to have sufficient taxable income to trigger the credit.
The top two income deciles receive 37% of the total $3.4 billion SC expenditure
No one in the bottom income decile can use the SC, despite 5% of eligible filers residing there
69% of full SC users are male, with average total incomes far above the national median
Unclaimed Value
$1.3 Billion left on the table
Of the 9% of taxfilers eligible for the Spousal Credit, 21% derive zero benefit because they have no taxable income to offset — this unclaimed $1.3 billion is lost disproportionately by women.
Women who are eligible are more likely to be unable to use the credit due to lower income
Increasing the SC would widen the gender gap further — directing more value to male high earners
The non-refundable structure actively disadvantages secondary earners and caregivers
03

Research Poster

Canada's Tax Credit Gap: Who Really Benefits? — Research Poster

Download the full poster: Basic_personal_amount.png ↗

04

Policy Reform Pathways

Option A
Convert to Refundable Credits
Making the BPA and SC refundable would direct value to those currently locked out — particularly women and low-income filers — and align the policy with its stated goal of supporting basic cost-of-living equity.
Fiscally costly, but the most direct mechanism for redistribution
METR increases at the phase-out are modest; labour supply effects likely small given low elasticity among low-income earners
Option B
Redirect to Targeted Programs
Eliminating universal non-refundable credits and reallocating the $50–60 billion annually toward targeted income supports would concentrate benefits where they are most needed.
Expand the Canada Disability Benefit
Enhance the GST/HST Credit for low-income households
Increase Canada Social Transfer funding for social assistance and family legal aid
On phasing out: A third pathway — extending the existing phase-out of the Enhanced BPA to the full credit for high earners — would reduce expenditure concentration without eliminating the credit, and could be politically more tractable than full refundability.
Knowledge Mobilization
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